Parallel calculations on modern multiprocessing technics open new opportunities in application of mathematical models for research ekonomy of region. Use of normative models was limited to complexity of their identification due to a lot of unknown parameters. In work the technique of...

The paper assesses the dependence of basic macroeconomic indicators of the Russian economy on the oil price dynamics on the world market. Hypotheses about the sensitivity of macroeconomic indicators of the Russian economy to oil price fluctuations are formulated, and a simultaneous equations...

In this paper we use a global vector autoregression (GVAR) model to study the response of Russian macroeconomic indicators to external shocks. The model includes individual models for the world's largest economies and a model for the oil market. Our specification takes into account the...

The relationship between the economies of various countries and their dependence on the world markets indicate that for econometric analysis of the impact of external shocks on a particular economy, it is necessary to use a model of the global economy. The aim of this paper is to build a global...

The monograph is devoted to use of distributed and parallel calculations in MATLAB interface. The technology is approved on standard problems of linear algebra. The industrial approach for identification of mathematical models of difficult systems on the basis of MATLAB parallel technics is...

The paper reviews some concepts of structural-morphological analysis and its application to the formal description of banking institutions activity. This research develops the synthetic approach based upon ideas of system dynamics, elements of structural linguistics, and Propp's morphological...

Russian abstract: В втором квартале 2020 г. безработица в России умеренно росла, в третьем и четвертом кварталах, несмотря на восстановление экономики, она оказалась...

In this paper we compare two types of models for forecasting Russia’s GDP under the structural breaks. We consider models that allow breaks in a deterministic trend, in which the dates of structural breaks set exogenously, and more flexible class of models – with a stochastic trend. We show...

A theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale has been proven. The theorem can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting. It can assist to solve paradoxes such as Allais paradox and the “four-fold-pattern” paradox and to create the correcting formula of forecasting.

The theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale has been proved. The theorem can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting. It can assist to solve paradoxes such as Allais paradox and the “four-fold-pattern” paradox and to create the correcting formula of forecasting.