The paper assesses the dependence of basic macroeconomic indicators of the Russian economy on the oil price dynamics on the world market. Hypotheses about the sensitivity of macroeconomic indicators of the Russian economy to oil price fluctuations are formulated, and a simultaneous equations...

The paper examines the quality of forecasts of Russian GDP and its components (household consumption, investment, exports and imports) using a model with Bayesian shrinkage of time-varying parameters (TVP) based on hierarchical normal-gamma prior. Such models account for the possible...

This paper investigates the influence of both concentration and foreign banks expansion in Russian banking sector on the level of its competition. The estimation of competition is based on widely used non-structural methodology of Panzar-Rosse H-statistic (Rosse, Panzar, 1977; Panzar, Rosse, 1987)...

Russian abstract: В втором квартале 2020 г. безработица в России умеренно росла, в третьем и четвертом кварталах, несмотря на восстановление экономики, она оказалась...

Russian Abstract: Предложен комплекс опережающих индикаторов инновационной динамики России и их многокомпонентные оценки для 78 регионов за период 2005-2017 годов....

Russian Abstract: В работе исследуется вопрос использования моделей панельных данных для прогнозирования роста производства отраслей российской обрабатывающей...

A theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale has been proven. The theorem can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting. It can assist to solve paradoxes such as Allais paradox and the “four-fold-pattern” paradox and to create the correcting formula of forecasting.

The theorem of existence of ruptures in the probability scale has been proved. The theorem can be used, e.g., in economics and forecasting. It can assist to solve paradoxes such as Allais paradox and the “four-fold-pattern” paradox and to create the correcting formula of forecasting.

Development of an economic situation last 20 years has passed in Latvia through various stages. Including - Post-Soviet re-structuring of demand and closing of industrial giants; development of the economy based on transit; development of craft manufacture, small enterprises and branch of...

The paper examines the world experience in stimulating economic development based on the creation of infrastructure. The effects on economic growth are found to be moderate. Building infrastructure boosts economic growth in the poorest countries, where infrastructure shortages are critical. For...