The article summarizes the key results of researches in the field of early warning systems for financial crises, conducted by the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (CMASF) since 2005. The proposed early warning system consists of three major blocks: the leading...

Using estimated CAPM-models portfolio risks of Russian mutual funds are analyzed. Two questions are considered: how did mutual funds portfolio risks change during the crisis and postcrisis periods; did portfolio managers successfully fit the portfolio structure depending on market conditions?...

Non-parametric estimates of technical efficiency of Russian banks are considered for each quarter in the period of 2002–2006. Two types of DEA estimates CCR (Charnes, Cooper, Rhodes, 1978) and BCC (Banker, Charnes, Cooper, 1984), are compared with parametric SFA estimates. Semiparametric...