The aim of this paper is to explore the purchasing power parity between the United States and Japan. This is done indirectly by estimating fractional integration orders of the aggregate price series in the two countries and nominal and real exchange rates. Our results suggest that both nominal...

Analysis of fundamental factors of the CBR’s exchange rate lay at the basis of this publication. The authors review papers which address problems of index construction of real effective exchange rate as well as models of evaluation of the real equilibrium exchange rate. They also analyze...

In this paper we analyze the relationship between the real Russian ruble exchange rate and real oil prices using the error correction model with Markov regime switching, which allows for changes in exchange rate policy. We find that during the period 1999-2018 real exchange rate dynamics was...

The study compares the explanatory power of two alternative long-term determinants of the real effective exchange rate of the Russian ruble, oil prices and oil export revenues, in three variants of the error correction model. The linear model shows that during the period of managed nominal...

The paper estimates vector error correction model (VECM) for the real ruble exchange rate and the real oil prices. The VECM model takes into account the structural break in short run parameters due to monetary policy regime change in November 2014. Estimates show that the real exchange rate...

Russian Abstract: В первом квартале 2021 г. положительное сальдо торгового баланса России уменьшилось по сравнению с аналогичным периодом предыдущего года почти на треть...

Russian Abstract: Доклад посвящен проблемам и перспективам использования национальных валют во взаиморасчетах между странами ЕАЭС. Анализ результатов специально...

Russian Abstract: Кризисные явления 2007–2009 гг. продемонстрировали, что финансовые рынки ведущих экономик мира могут быть подвержены масштабным системным потрясениям....

Russian Abstract: В 2021 г., по предварительной оценке, сальдо счета текущих операций более чем в три раза превысило показатель предыдущего года. В том числе положительное...