The article summarizes the key results of researches in the field of early warning systems for financial crises, conducted by the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting (CMASF) since 2005. The proposed early warning system consists of three major blocks: the leading...

The article examines an approach to the simulation of financial institution behavior (and bank in particular) based upon system dynamics methods. Research results indicate that system dynamics modeling can to further for better understanding of banking troubles hidden causes. Therefore the...

The article analyses an approach to construction of the mathematical model for the commercial banking industry based upon set theory, abstract algebra, and computational linguistics.

This paper continues consideration of computer simulation of a bank branch by means of GPSS World and structural-morphological analysis. In a previous work the bank is modeled by a set of queuing systems. Following the first article in this part we report on the development of a simulation model...

This paper presents an overview of some general concepts and techniques of an adequacy estimation of simulation models of the banking business processes. A proposal on specific requirements for computer simulation models to banking activity re-engineering and optimization is formulated.

The paper reviews some concepts of structural-morphological analysis and its application to the formal description of banking institutions activity. This research develops the synthetic approach based upon ideas of system dynamics, elements of structural linguistics, and Propp's morphological...

This paper investigates the influence of both concentration and foreign banks expansion in Russian banking sector on the level of its competition. The estimation of competition is based on widely used non-structural methodology of Panzar-Rosse H-statistic (Rosse, Panzar, 1977; Panzar, Rosse, 1987)...