The Real Exchange Rate (RER) dynamic has been widely studied. The international literature shows that, in the period after the Bretton Woods treaties, it would follow a non-stationary process. The evidence for the Chilean economy suggests that only in the very long term it is possible to find...

This paper studies the dynamics of the real exchange rate (RER) in Chile between the years 1986-2008, finding robust evidence of a structural break in its path around the year 1997. The cause is attributed to strong shocks in their long-term fundamentals, due to major structural changes in the...

Spanish Abstract: En ese artículo se efectúa un análisis de la integración y dependencia de las políticas monetarias de la Unión Europea y, en concreto, de las políticas monetarias de la Unión Económica y Monetaria y de la zona no euro para el periodo comprendido entre Enero de 1999 y...

En este trabajo se analiza la gestación y el desarrollo general en el plano de la economía mundial de la hegemonía de las formas y los mecanismos de valorización financieros y especulativos desde la década de 1970 hasta la crisis actual, identificando sus distintas etapas. Asimismo, se...

This paper reviews the possibility that Harvard barometers would have enabled to predict the Great Depression. Based on data from the ABC curves in August 1929, could have been foreseen the collapse of the stock market and the dramatic fall in economic activity?. It is now accepted that Harvard...

Based on a deterministic hypothesis, this paper aims to verify the regularity of the stock market cycles and, if this regularity is found, the ability to predict major stock market crises. Harmonic analysis, or Fourier series, is applied in order to, decomposing into sinusoids curves, find the...

Many researchers have explored the implications of Lucas’ misperception model. Arguably, the most important implication of this model is that the slope of the aggregate supply curve depends on the variability of nominal shocks. This paper examines this insight from Lucas’ model using annual...

The objective of this study is to estimate the Chilean economy’s growth rate in a context of full employment of the productive resources. As reference, some experts estimate at that the long term growth of the activity has fallen from 5 per cent to a rank between 4.5 per cent and 5 per cent in...

We search for evidence against the hypothesis of a non-linear relationship between inflation and growth rates for 1993-2012 Peruvian data. A family of dichotomous models provide the way to model the relationship between the those two variables' cycles. Given the acceleration/de-acceleration...

We estimate the Okun Law for Andalusia and Spain using quarterly data for the period 1984-2000. We take a VAR approach that allows us to unveil the different dynamic behaviour of the relationship between the output gap and the unemployment gap in the two regions, as well as the asymmetric nature...