[EN] Aitkin and Clayton (1980) proposed to analyze duration models using generalized linear models. In this work we extend that methodology allowing for some nonspecified covariable effect. The model we propose is a semiparametric generalized linear model, with a parametric component to specify...

In contrast with previous studies on university drop-out, which have tried to explain it only according to some of the features that theoretically have been proposed, this article analyzes the student’s drop-out problem in the University of Antioquia incorporating jointly individual,...

The goal of this paper is to identify the main determinants of the risk premium in some European currency markets just before the EMU. To do this the authors propose an exchange rate model and derive a formula for the forward premium. This formula includes money and production variables and is...

This paper analyzes from a long-term perspective, if the performance of the Mexican peso exchange, presents a recurring asymmetric behavior against the US dollar, and if that behavior has an influence on the potential use of financial derivatives by non-financial firms Mexican selected in the...

This paper analyzes from a long-term perspective, if the performance of the Mexican peso exchange, presents a recurring asymmetric behavior against the US dollar, and if that behavior has an influence on the potential use of financial derivatives by non-financial firms Mexican selected in the...

Este trabajo presenta un análisis teórico y empirico de las politicas dirigidas a alcanzar un nivel más depreciado de la tasa de carnbio real. Un modelo de optimización intertemporal sugiere que, en ausencia de cambios en la politica fiscal, un nivel más depreciado de la tasa de carnbio...

The aim of this article is to assess whether a fiscal sustainability indicator (FSI) can be used as an early warning indicator for predicting the probability that a currency crisis occurs. Using the FSI developed by Croce and Juan-Ramón (2003) and two different definitions of currency crisis, a...

The aim of this article is to assess whether a fiscal sustainability indicator (FSI) can be used as an early warning indicator for predicting the probability that a currency crisis occurs. Using the FSI developed by Croce and Juan-Ramón (2003) and two different definitions of currency crisis, a...

Las monedas locales de los países en vías de desarrollo, además de no ser libremente convertibles a nivel internacional, suelen experimentar niveles de inflación superiores y más volátiles, al tiempo que tienden a sufrir periodos de fuerte apreciación y depreciación. Estas bien conocidas...

Las monedas locales de los países en vías de desarrollo, además de no ser librementeconvertibles a nivel internacional, suelen experimentar niveles de inflación superiores ymás volátiles, al tiempo que tienden a sufrir periodos de fuerte apreciación y depreciación.Estas bien conocidas...