En el presente artículo se presenta la metodología y los resultados obtenidos en la trimestralización de los flujos de mercancías dentro de España. Partiendo de los datos anuales de movimientos de mercancías (1995-2007) según los principales modos de transporte disponibles en la base de...

This paper tests the existence of financial contagion between US and Latin America stock markets based on the analysis of pattern of the correlation coefficients during crisis and stable periods. The study applies a dynamic conditional correlation multivariate GARCH model to estimate...

This paper tests the existence of financial contagion between US and Latin America stock markets based on the analysis of pattern of the correlation coefficients during crisis and stable periods. The study applies a dynamic conditional correlation multivariate GARCH model to estimate...

Global macroeconometric models can be a powerful tool for economic analysis and forecasting in various scenarios. This paper analyses the NiGEM model and its application to the euro area, placing particular emphasis on the study of the relative situation of the member countries' economies.

This paper contains the results of a non parametric multi-step ahead forecast for the monthly Colombian inflation, using Mean conditional Kernel estimation over inflation changes, with no inclusion of exogenous variables. The results are compared with those from an ARIMA and a nonlinear STAR....

The objective of this analysis is to find the best hierarchical model to forecast the total demand for regular gasoline in Bogotá, Colombia and, therefore, the collection of gasoline surcharges, which is an important tax used to finance road networks and massive transportation systems. We used...

The objective of this analysis is to find the best hierarchical model to forecast the total demand for regular gasoline in Bogotá, Colombia and, therefore, the collection of gasoline surcharges, which is an important tax used to finance road networks and massive transportation systems. We used...