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forecasts based on a pre-pandemic estimation of the parameters in the DFM and a re-estimated DFM with updated parameters using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013173159
In this paper I present a real-time estimation of the evolution of the Investment, constructed from a broad set of high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011846223
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001219880
In the present document it is exposed in an abstract way the models of credit portfolioes CreditMetricsTM, KMV, CreditRisk+, Credit Portfolio View in such a way that they could be calibrated and implemented in financial institutions where the quality and quantity of credit information is scanty,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015218094
estimation of more than a million models, the results indicate that —on average— the models based on the Schwarz criterion …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015230106
We search for evidence against the hypothesis of a non-linear relationship between inflation and growth rates for 1993-2012 Peruvian data. A family of dichotomous models provide the way to model the relationship between the those two variables' cycles. Given the acceleration/de-acceleration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015245557
El modelo gaussiano GARCH(1,1) ha sido empleado, tradicionalmente, en el estudio de la tasa de cambio; sin embargo, un número importante de estudios recientes (utilizando modelos FIGARCH e HYGARCH) ha encontrado evidencia de persistencia en su volatilidad. En este trabajo, usando una estrategia...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005603782
, using Mean conditional Kernel estimation over inflation changes, with no inclusion of exogenous variables. The results are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005783908
En este artículo se estudia el comportamiento de la tasa de crecimiento del PIB colombiano entre 1982-2008 a partir de un modelo SETAR (Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregressive), empleando la metodología propuesta por Tsay (1989) y Tong (1990) para la detección de no linealidades relacionadas...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008483908
En este artículo se estudia el comportamiento de la tasa de crecimiento del PIB colombiano durante el período 1982-2008 a partir de un modelo SETAR (Self-Exciting Threshold Autoregressive), con base en la metodología propuesta por Tsay (1989) y Tong (1990) para la detección de no...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008491641