Logit model and the signal approach are two analysis methods being commonly used to forecast and explain currency crises. Logit model is successful to determine explaining variables of crisis and to calculate the probability of crisis in particular during the period experienced with a crisis. On...

This study first provides an outline of Kaldor's growth model and then tests its relevance to the economic experience of Turkey during the period 1963-2005 by using cointegration and causality tests. Kaldor's first law states that manufacturing is the engine of economic growth, whereas the...