This paper considers the forecast accuracies of VAR and ARIMA models. The paper, hence, employs monthly Turkish CPI, Exchange Rate and Interest rate variables for the period 1994:1-200:07, and, observes the ex-post forecast values of the relevant variables. To this end, paper first determines...

Turkish Abstract: Bu metin, bugün dahi gecerli olan ve zaman içerisinde daha da gelistirilmis bulunan, örneğin halen Uluslararası Para Fonu (IMF) tarafından kullanılan, para bazı analizi ve parasal kontrol modeli üzerine yapilmis ilk araştırmalardandır.Çalısmada para bazı...

The sources of inflation are explained by different theoretical approaches in the framework of these theories and their basic assumptions. For this reason, prescriptions presented to reduce inflation are shaped according to the basic assumptions of theories. Naturally, the reasons for the...

In this paper the causality relationships between the inflationary process, experienced by the Turkish economy, and some main money supply measures have been tried to be investigated, and the direction of these relationships has also been aimed to be determined through the vector autoregression...

The relationship between crude oil import economic growth of Turkey is the main concern of this paper. Economic growth performance of Turkey depends on imported capital goods as well as oil. Oil price increases bring a heavy burden for Turkish economy since Turkey is an oil-importing developing...

Enflasyon hedeflemesi popülaritesi giderek artan bir para politikasý rejimidir. Enflasyon hedeflemesinin popülaritesinin giderek artmasýnýn nedeni, makroekonomik performansý olumlu etkilediðine inanýlmasýdýr. Bu çalýþmada bu görüþün geçerliliði geliþmekte olan ülkeler...