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consumption for the period of 1987:1-1999:4. Beside private consumption, for VAR method, the Turkish GDP data is employed for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015254084
This paper considers the forecast accuracies of VAR and ARIMA models. The paper, hence, employs monthly Turkish CPI, Exchange Rate and Interest rate variables for the period 1994:1-200:07, and, observes the ex-post forecast values of the relevant variables. To this end, paper first determines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015254124
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012694646
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110046
This paper investigates relationship between economic growth and electricity consumption for Turkey over the period … 1974-2004. As economic growth and electricity consumption variables used in empirical analysis was different order of … integration ( I(0) and I(1) ) we employed bound test approach. We found cointegration relationship between the variables and in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015212012
The relationships between inflation and its uncertainty have long been perceived in the economics literature as a special research area based mainly on empirical findings. Testing the causality between these aggregates enables us to attain the significant knowledgement of whether or not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015219706
. The unit root and cointegration tests have been applied to both of the subperiods. The statistical evidence supporting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015260804
In this study, an output gap measure is derived for the Turkish economy using an estimated New Keynesian model. Considering the ongoing structural transformation during the last decade, the model is estimated for 2002-2010 period using Bayesian techniques. The results indicate that output, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293993
Turkish Abstract: (Bu çalışmada Türkiye'nin enflasyon hedeflemesi deneyimi, bekleyişlerin hedeflere çapalanma derecesi üzerinden değerlendirilmektedir. Zaman içinde değişen vektör özgecikmeli model tahminleri, çapalanma etkisinin 2006 yılı Mayıs ayına kadar yüksek, bu aydaki...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963501