In this study, we examine if there is a linkage between the budget deficit (BD) and current account deficit (CAP). Traditional theory asserts that the BD leads to CAD, given that government expenditures are fixed. As disposable income increases due to BD (i.e., due to tax-cuts given that there...

In this study, an output gap measure is derived for the Turkish economy using an estimated New Keynesian model. Considering the ongoing structural transformation during the last decade, the model is estimated for 2002-2010 period using Bayesian techniques. The results indicate that output, which...

The New Classical theorem asserts that (a) the individuals with rational expectations do not change their consumption levels unless the expected permanent income changes, and, (b), thusly, tax and/or debt policies are not significant on consumption decisions of the individuals, at least in the...

This paper observes if budget deficit has significant impact on interest rates, exchange rates, and, price level through (a) theoretical discussions, and, (b) relevant statistical estimations by regression models and Granger causality models. The paper (i) reaches the regression output depicting...

The New Classical theorem asserts that (a) the individuals with rational expectations do not change their consumption levels unless the expected permanent income changes, and, (b), thusly, tax and/or debt policies are not significant on consumption decisions of the individuals, at least in the...

Fiyatlar kalabalıkların bilgeliğini mi, yoksa çılgınlığını mı yansıtır? Finansal krizlerin tarihine bakınca, varlık fiyatlarındaki rasyonel temellerden kopuk artışların pek de bilgelik eseri olmadığını düşünebiliriz. Finansal başarısızlık ve çöküş hikâyeleri;...

This study provides a general view for the propagation arising from global liquidity and examines some of the recent effects of it by using the daily Eurobond rates of some emerging market countries. The emprical analysis is based on the database which includes the daily EMBIG indices of Brazil,...

In this study, we examine whether the efficient market hypothesis is valid in the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) via parametric and semi parametric long memory models. In order to determine the presence of weak form efficient market hypothesis, we consider 10 sector indices. Semi parametric and...

Sistematik risk olcutu olarak ifade edilen beta (ß) katsayisi, hisse senedinin getirisi ile pazar getirisi arasindaki iliskiyi gosterir. Bu calismanin amaci beta katsayisinin gelecekte ulasacagi degerin tahmin edilmesidir. Bu baglamda Istanbul Menkul Kiymetler Borsasi (IMKB)’nda islem goren...

Interest rate is one of the most observed and forecasted variables in financial markets. Interest rates and the volatility of interest rates play a crucial role in pricing financial instruments. In this empirical study, we try to investigate which short term interest rate model is appropriate...