The aim of this study is to compare the ex post forecast accuracies of VAR, ARIMA, ES, Combining and Add-factor methods. In this comparison, the ex post forecasts of 2000:1-2000:4 are obtained by using the data of the Turkish private consumption for the period of 1987:1-1999:4. Beside private...

Turkish Abstract: Bu çalışma 2008-2014 yılları arasında Türkiye Bireysel Emeklilik sistemi üzerinde yer alan tüm gider kalemlerini sınıflandırmak, hesaplamak, analiz etmek ve çalışmada elde edilen verileri kullanarak giderlerden arındırılmış reel getirileri bulmak ve ortaya...

The New Classical theorem asserts that (a) the individuals with rational expectations do not change their consumption levels unless the expected permanent income changes, and, (b), thusly, tax and/or debt policies are not significant on consumption decisions of the individuals, at least in the...

The New Classical theorem asserts that (a) the individuals with rational expectations do not change their consumption levels unless the expected permanent income changes, and, (b), thusly, tax and/or debt policies are not significant on consumption decisions of the individuals, at least in the...

Recent financial crises and especially large corporate bankruptcies, have led bank managements and financial authorities to follow and monitor both financial and real sector risks, and to focus on firm failures. Bank of International Settlements, has therefore, taken the decision to include the...

Bu çalışmanın ana amacı halihazırda çeşitli kurumlar tarafından uygulanan farklı metodolojilere dayanılarak elde edilmiş “fıkhi uygunluk kriterleri”ne yönelik eleştirilere dönük önerilerde bulunmaktır. Ayrıca, bu çalışma, İslamın birincil kaynaklarından (Kuran ve...

Dollarization, which can be considered as a wide-spread characteristic of the emerging market economies, is caused by economic units’ holding assets in foreign currency to prevent the value of their financial assets from the risk of devaluation of the national currency and to diversify their...

The 2008 financial crisis are quite noteworthy in terms of exposing the volatility in the risk appetite of the global markets. The instantaneous and collective movements of the investors’ risk preferences have attracted the attentions to the concept of risk, which is one of the fundamental...

Aim of this study is to investigate profitability of momentum investment strategy in ISE. Sample of the study consists of the stocks traded in National Market of ISE from July 2000 to June 2010. We use 3, 6, 9, 12 month holding and testing periods. Performance of momentum strategy is tested by...