Accession negotiations between Turkey and the EU have been opened and the screening process has been underway since October 2005. No doubt that one of the most important and potentially troublesome chapters will be agriculture throughout the process of negotiations. Agricultural negotiations...

This paper considers the forecast accuracies of VAR and ARIMA models. The paper, hence, employs monthly Turkish CPI, Exchange Rate and Interest rate variables for the period 1994:1-200:07, and, observes the ex-post forecast values of the relevant variables. To this end, paper first determines...

This paper observes if budget deficit has significant impact on interest rates, exchange rates, and, price level through (a) theoretical discussions, and, (b) relevant statistical estimations by regression models and Granger causality models. The paper (i) reaches the regression output depicting...

(This paper is in Turkish) This study investigates the stability of the relationship between demand for real money, real income, and interest rates in Turkey using quarterly data for the period from 1988:I to 2005: IV. According to conventional stability tests the demand for money is subject to...

Logit model and the signal approach are two analysis methods being commonly used to forecast and explain currency crises. Logit model is successful to determine explaining variables of crisis and to calculate the probability of crisis in particular during the period experienced with a crisis. On...

In spite of the analysis of sophisticated developments and their effects in the agricultural sector, measuring composite index of agricultural development depending upon main statistical indicators in the determination of the level of agricultural sector developments is one of the important...

This article analyses statistical reasoning of Spain’s Euro 2008 success. It argues that Spain success is related to its high level of domestic competition. This line argument was also supported with the examples from previous Euro football tournaments.

In spite of the analysis of sophisticated developments and their effects in the agricultural sector, measuring composite index of agricultural development depending upon main statistical indicators in the determination of the level of agricultural sector developments is one of the important...

In this empirical paper, the long-run relations between growth and unemployment in Turkey has been tested. ARDL bound test which is a long-term co-integration test has been used based on Turkish real gross domestic product and the number of unemployed time series in 1962-2014. The results of...