The New Classical theorem asserts that (a) the individuals with rational expectations do not change their consumption levels unless the expected permanent income changes, and, (b), thusly, tax and/or debt policies are not significant on consumption decisions of the individuals, at least in the...

The New Classical theorem asserts that (a) the individuals with rational expectations do not change their consumption levels unless the expected permanent income changes, and, (b), thusly, tax and/or debt policies are not significant on consumption decisions of the individuals, at least in the...

The aim of this study is to compare the ex post forecast accuracies of VAR, ARIMA, ES, Combining and Add-factor methods. In this comparison, the ex post forecasts of 2000:1-2000:4 are obtained by using the data of the Turkish private consumption for the period of 1987:1-1999:4. Beside private...

In this study, we examine if there is a linkage between the budget deficit (BD) and current account deficit (CAP). Traditional theory asserts that the BD leads to CAD, given that government expenditures are fixed. As disposable income increases due to BD (i.e., due to tax-cuts given that there...

Recent financial crises and especially large corporate bankruptcies, have led bank managements and financial authorities to follow and monitor both financial and real sector risks, and to focus on firm failures. Bank of International Settlements, has therefore, taken the decision to include the...

This paper observes if budget deficit has significant impact on interest rates, exchange rates, and, price level through (a) theoretical discussions, and, (b) relevant statistical estimations by regression models and Granger causality models. The paper (i) reaches the regression output depicting...

Turkish Abstract: Bu çalışmada Türkiye'nin nüfus açısından en büyük üç şehrinin konut fiyatlarındaki değişimleri etkileyen faktörler incelenmiştir. Bu kapsamda Ocak 2010 – Ağustos 2016 döneminde İstanbul, Ankara ve İzmir'in hedonik konut fiyat endeksindeki değişimleri...

This study aims at computing effective tax rates on consumption, household income, labour income and capital income for the Turkish economy from the viewpoints of the methods developed by Mendoza et al (1994) and Carey and Rabesona (2002) using national income accounts and tax revenue statistics...