Recent financial crises and especially large corporate bankruptcies, have led bank managements and financial authorities to follow and monitor both financial and real sector risks, and to focus on firm failures. Bank of International Settlements, has therefore, taken the decision to include the...

The aim of this study is to compare the ex post forecast accuracies of VAR, ARIMA, ES, Combining and Add-factor methods. In this comparison, the ex post forecasts of 2000:1-2000:4 are obtained by using the data of the Turkish private consumption for the period of 1987:1-1999:4. Beside private...

Parasal iktisat literatüründeki modeller genellikle paranın değerli olduğunu kabul ederek para miktarını ilgi odağına alan modellerdir. Yeni Parasalcı İktisat akımının görüşüne göre ise parasal teori ve politika analizinde gelişme sağlanabilmesi için karşılıksız paraya...

This paper observes if budget deficit has significant impact on interest rates, exchange rates, and, price level through (a) theoretical discussions, and, (b) relevant statistical estimations by regression models and Granger causality models. The paper (i) reaches the regression output depicting...

Türkiye’de son birkaç yýldýr en çok tartýþýlan konulardan biri faiz oraný ile döviz kuru arasýndaki iliþkidir. Bazý iktisatçýlar döviz kurlarýnýn uzun süredir yerinde saymasýnýn nedenini faiz oranlarýnýn yüksekliðine baðlamakta ve Merkez Bankasý’nýn kýsa vadeli...

In this study we attempt to shed some light on the theoretical and empirical discussions regarding the role of monetary aggregates in monetary policy formulations. We also assess the developments in the aftermath of the global financial crisis and emphasize the role of monetary aggregates in...