Showing 1 - 10 of 28
positive levels of search costs. Considering an explicit learning scheme the paper shows that convergence of prices to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005839191
Saddlepath learning occurs when agents learn adaptively using a perceived law of motion that has the same form as the … saddlepath relationship in rational expectations equilibrium.  Under saddlepath learning, we obtain a completely general … information.  When the system is determinate, we show that a learning process based on the saddlepath is always e-stable.  When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008673298
The combination of learning and depletion in non-renewable resource markets adds significant volatility to commodity … sensitive price is to supply. Learning leads to changes in these perceptions and hence the revision of depletion plans, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868936
Consumption-based asset pricing models with time-separable preferences can generate realistic amounts of stock price volatility if one allows for small deviations from rational expectations. We consider rational investors who entertain subjective prior beliefs about price behavior that are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165807
Consumption based asset pricing models with time-separable preferences can generate realistic amounts of stock price volatility if one allows for small deviations from rational expectations. We consider rational investors who entertain subjective prior beliefs about price behavior that are not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011166116
The booms and busts in U.S. stock prices over the post-war period can to a large extent be explained by fluctuations in investors' subjective capital gains expectations. Survey measures of these expectations display excessive optimism at market peaks and excessive pessimism at market troughs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011194310
the help of econometric models. Agents use least squares learning to estimate two competing models of which one is … consistent with rational expectations once learning is complete. When past performance governs the choice of forecast model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958541
policymakers, learning from the experience of the 1970s, eschewed activist policies in favor of policies that concentrated on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010958612
from the existing literature, which typically focuses on the learning of private agents during a disinflation. We build a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010541306
We introduce learning into a Hotelling model of a non-renewable resource market. By combining learning and scarcity we … add significantly to the dynamics implied by learning and substantially enhance the volatility of commodity prices. In our … learning model we show how a self confirming equilibrium exists but is not constant over time. As scarcity increases the SCE …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973966