Showing 1 - 10 of 35
This paper investigates the impact of the history of crises on macroeconomic performance. We first study the impact of past banking crises on the probability of a future banking crisis. We do not detect a learning process from past banking crises. Countries that have already experienced one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010719324
bank lending can increase output volatility and higher levels of short-term debt or total debt services can increase both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005828848
A key challenge facing most emerging market economies today is how to simultaneously maintain monetary independence, exchange rate stability and financial integration subject to the constraints imposed by the Trilemma, in an era of widespread globalization. In this paper we overview and contrast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011261190
This paper extends our previous paper (Aizenman, Chinn, and Ito 2008) and explores some of the unexplored questions. First, we examine the channels through which the trilemma policy configurations affect output volatility. Secondly, we investigate how trilemma policy configurations affect the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009363366
A key challenge facing most emerging market economies today is how to simultaneously maintain monetary independence, exchange rate stability and financial integration subject to the constraints imposed by the Trilemma, in the era of deepening globalization. In this paper we study the Trilemma...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009359933
issue goes beyond the obvious increase in the stock of public debt/GDP induced by the global recession, to include the … neglected perspective that the vulnerabilities associated with a given public debt/GDP increase with the future volatility of … key economic variables. We evaluate for a given future projected public debt/GDP, the possible distribution of the fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008684856
Using a novel dataset on changes in capital controls and currency-based prudential measures in 17 major emerging market economies (EMEs) over the period 2001-2011, this paper provides new evidence on domestic and spillover effects of capital controls before and after the global financial crisis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011119802
This paper provides an overview of Chinese financial and trade integration in recent decades, and the challenges facing China in the coming years. China had been a prime example of exported growth, benefiting from learning by doing, and by adopting foreign know-how, supported by a complex...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165135
experience a currency or debt crisis. However, a developing or emerging market country with a higher degree of relative policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011098322
This paper investigates the association between greater income inequality, de-facto fiscal space, and sovereign spreads. Using data from 50 countries in 2007, 2009 and 2011, we find that higher income inequality is associated with a lower tax base, lower de-facto fiscal space, and higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133522