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markets, to quantify both negative and positive equity returns contagion in mature and emerging equity markets during the past … decade. The results indicate (a) higher contagion for negative returns than for positive returns; (b) a secular increase in … contagion in Latin America not matched in other regions; (c) global increases in contagion following the 1998 financial crises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735588
This paper describes a corporate sector vulnerability indicator, the expected number of defaults (END), based on the joint occurrence of defaults among a number of firms and/or institutions. The END indicator is general enough to assess systemic risk in the corporate and financial sectors, as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783331
Contagion can be defined as the probability of observing large return realizations simultaneously across different … financial markets (co-exceedances) rather than as increases in correlations. We introduce global extreme contagion measures … returns contagion at the inter- and intraregional level for a number of mature and emerging equity markets during the past …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012784819
To assess how financial markets and commodities are inter-related, this paper introduces a ‘volatility surprise’ component into the asymmetric DCC with one exogenous variable (ADCCX) framework. We develop an econometric model in which returns and volatility allow to influence pairs of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116367
To assess how financial markets and commodities are inter-related, this paper introduces a ‘volatility surprise’ component into the asymmetric DCC with one exogenous variable (ADCCX) framework. We develop an econometric model in which returns and volatility allow to influence pairs of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011205311
This paper assesses the impact of oil prices on economic growth of the four major OPEC countries (United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Venezuela) over the period spanning from 03/09/2000 to 03/12/2010. We aim at complementing the results from existing analyses (mainly focused on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010754717
In this paper we examine the degree of interdependence between oil prices and four major countries (United
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010796416
This paper proposes a new ‘World Volatility Index’, coined WVIX, by constructing the first index that approximates the aggregate volatility level of the G20 countries. The empirical analysis makes use of the factor dynamic conditional correlation model – with an automated methodology to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212043
Changes in domestic and international economic conditions affect partly the trend and volatility of the exchange rate as well as the operating conditions of firms and corporations. Therefore, the common practice of adding up the default risk and currency risk premia could overstate the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012724373
In reduced-form pricing models, it is usual to assume a fixed recovery rate to obtain the probability of default from credit default swap prices. An alternative credit risk measure is proposed here: the maximum recovery rate compatible with observed prices. The analysis of the recent debt crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735561