dealt with by the international community. In this article, I examine the occurrence of mediation in low-intensity conflicts …. Drawing on insights from the war termination literature, I develop a theoretical argument that links mediation in low … when mediation happens, how events unfold on the battlefield also influences the occurrence of mediation. I test this …

makes mediation more likely to be undertaken in high-stakes conflicts between states and strong rebel groups. Relatively … represents an important methodological shift within the mediation literature, which has in the past largely relied upon aggregate … mediation process and eventually concede some form of settlement. This is further evidence of the need to capture the dyadic …

International mediation of violent conflicts is commonplace in today’s world, and so is academic research on its … features and effectiveness. But research that speaks to both the initiation and implementation of mediation remains relatively … counterintuitive selection effect: potential mediators that are likely to resolve a dispute are unlikely to select into mediation. The …

We examine whether features highlighted as important for mediation in existing research allow us to predict when we … will see mediation and likely success out-of-sample. We assess to what extent information about the characteristics of the … mediation as well as when peaceful solutions are more likely to follow from mediation. We justify that the information used to …