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potential impact on inflation has been studied less. We use the IMF’s Global Integrated Fiscal and Monetary Model (GIMF) and … advanced countries as well, but we find that deflation risk from aging is not inevitable as ambitious structural reforms and an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011142094
inflation data. Design/methodology/approach – The conventional approach for assessing the degree of persistence within an … inflation process is via its integration properties. This study makes use of univariate threshold autoregressive (TAR) models … and associated unit root testing procedures to investigate the integration properties of the inflation data. Out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010814931
, larger price deflation, relative to inflation, moderates output contraction, relative to expansion in the face of government … output growth, price inflation, wage inflation, and real wage growth vary with respect to anticipated and unanticipated … factor in differentiating the expansionary and contractionary effects of fiscal and monetary shocks. Higher price inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004990885
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998595
frontiers of Inflation-Forecast Targeting. It then focuses on the CNB’s recent experience in adding the exchange rate as a … complementary monetary policy tool to stimulate the economy and combat the risks of deflation when the policy interest rate is at … announcing the new framework, and the effects thus far on inflation and output. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242190
impact on the economy—given better anchored inflation expectations and inflation being less responsive to variation in … Germany to confirm a weakening of monetary policy effectiveness over time with regards to unemployment and inflation. After …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242214
Building on recent work on the role of speculation and inventories in oil markets, we embed a competitive oil storage model within a DSGE model of the U.S. economy. This enables us to formally analyze the impact of a (speculative) storage demand shock and to assess how the effects of various...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242253
This paper evaluates the strength of the balance sheet channel in the U.S. monetary policy transmission mechanism over the past three decades. Using a Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregression model on an expanded data set, including sectoral balance sheet variables, we show that the balance sheets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790431
This paper contributes to the current debate on what role financial stability considerations should play in monetary policy decision and how best to integrate macro-prudential and monetary policy frameworks. The paper broadly supports the view that monetary policy easing induces greater...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011123889
yen. Inflation expectations have started to increase, and actual inflation recorded positive growth in June. The near …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011244552