much the forecast would change relative to the baseline forecast under alternative scenarios about future oil demand and … evaluating the risks underlying these forecasts. We show how policy-relevant forecast scenarios can be constructed from recently … to these scenarios affect the upside and downside risks embodied in the baseline real-time oil price forecast. Such risk …

from the period of 1980 to 2010. Johansen and Jeuuselius and ARDL bound testing cointegration approach confirms the valid …

In this paper, we describe our investigation of the cointegration and causal relationships between energy consumption … energy, capital and labour as separate inputs of production. The empirical evidence points to a cointegration relationship … between energy and output and implies that energy is an important variable in the cointegration space, as are conventional …

security expenditures. Design/methodology/approach – The paper employs bounds testing cointegration procedure, augmented … causality tests and variance decompositions. Findings – The empirical results suggest the existence of cointegration amongst the …, time-series evidence on the dynamics of crime in Turkey using the framework of cointegration and causality tests. …