This paper tests a version of Barro`s tax-smoothing model, which assumes intertemporal optimization by a government seeking to minimize the distortionary costs of taxation, using Pakistan and Sri Lankan data for 1956-95 and 1964-97, respectively. The empirical results indicate that Pakistan`s...

A canonical model is described which reflects the real-time informational context of decision-making. Comparisons are drawn with ‘conventional’ models that incorrectly omit market-informed insights on future macroeconomic conditions and inappropriately incorporate information that was not...

In this paper we investigate the relationship between inflation and unemployment in Australia, post 1959. We focus on two features of the data: firstly, we find that forecasting models are surprisingly through ou sample period. We also estimate the nonaccelaring inflation rate of unemployment...

We study the effects of growth volatility and inflation volatility on average rates of output growth and inflation for postwar U.S. data in a multivariate asymmetric GARCH-M model. Our statistical model differs from other work in that we allow the conditional covariance of inflation and growth...

This paper looks at the interaction between public and private consumption in Australia. The results show that there is substitution between private and public consumption in the long-run and that in the short-run, changes to government consumption secures a retourn to equilibrium following a shock.

Research by Ghali (1999) tested for the existence of causality between wages and prices in United States' aggregate data using a multivariate cointegration framework. We show that Ghali's model is misspecified and that the correct specification leads to a different interpretation of the long-run...

This paper tests a version of Barro's tax smoothing hypothesis using Australian data for the period 1964/65 to 194/95. The model assumes intertemporal optimisation by a government ssking to minimise the distortionary effects of tax collection.