In this paper we use the Panel Study of Income Dynamics to construct a series of even history files that follow young black men and women as they age year-by-year from 15 to 30. Given a person's individual, family, and neighborhood characteristics in year t, we predict the odds of various...

Vital statistics generated through civil registration systems are the major source of continuous monitoring of births and deaths over time. The usefulness of vital statistics depends on their quality. In the second paper in this Series we propose a comprehensive and practical framework for...