A prominent test of long-run monetary neutrality (LRMN) involves regressing long-horizon output growth on long-horizon money growth. We obtain limited support for LRMN with this test in long-annual Australian, Canadian, UK and US samples. Although empirical confidence intervals yield evidence in...

Exchange rates have raised the ire of economists for more than twenty years. The problem is that few, if any, exchange rate models are known to systematically beat a naive random walk in out-of-sample forecasts. Engel and West (2005) show that these failures can be explained by the standard...

The Great Moderation refers to the fall in U.S. output growth volatility in the mid-1980s. At the same time, the United States experienced a moderation in inflation and lower average inflation. Using annual data since 1890, we find that an earlier, 1946 moderation in output and consumption...

Ìn this paper I explore the long-run monetary neutrality using the framework developed by Fisher and Seater (1993). I show that their rejection of long-run neutrality in the United States for the 1870-1975 period is not robust to a change in the money aggregate or country.

Accountability of UK Debt Management: A Proposal' In this paper, we argue that UK debt management policy is insufficiently transparent and accountable. The debt management objectives are poorly understood and accountable, and partly as a consequence, there is no formal mechanism for performance...

This paper presents an empirical analysis of the efficiency of the UK debt management authorities' (DMA) behaviour from a cost minimisation perspective over the period January 1985 to March 1995. During this period, the maturity structure of the government's bond portfolio was subject to...