We investigate the international transmission of inflation among G-7 countries using a data-determined vector autoregression analysis, as advocated by Swanson and Granger (1997). Over the period 1973 to 2003, we find that U.S. innovations have a large effect on inflation in the other countries,...

This paper examines linkages among major Eurocurrency interest rates during 1994-2002. Eurocurrency interest rate causal linkages are found to be much stronger with additional allowance for contemporaneous causality test results than the inference based solely on Granger causality tests. The...

This study explores dynamic price relationships among nine major stock index futures markets, combining an error correction model with directed acyclic graph (DAG) analysis. DAG-based innovation accounting results show that the Japanese market is isolated from other major stock index futures...

This study examines the market segmentation and information asymmetry patterns in Chinese stock markets. The recursive cointegration analysis confirms that each of six markets is not linked with other markets in the long run. Further, the result from data-determined forecast error variance...

This study investigates the dynamic structure of nine major stock markets using an error correction model and directed acyclic graphs (DAG). The DAG representation provides a structure of causality among these markets in contemporaneous time. Building on this contemporaneous structure and the...

This study examines long-run relationships and short-run dynamic causal linkages among the U.S., Japanese, and ten Asian emerging stock markets, with the particular attention to the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis. Extending related empirical studies, comparative analyses of pre-crisis, crisis,...

In the context of a three-moment Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model specification, we characterize conditional co-skewness between stock and bond excess returns using a bivariate regime-switching model. We find that both conditional U.S. stock co-skewness (the relation between stock...

This study investigates financial contagion among seven international stock markets around the October 19, 1987 crash. Building on a recent advance in vector autoregression analysis by Swanson and Granger (1997), data-determined historical decompositions are conducted to provide a day-by-day...

Using monthly stock and bond return data in the past 150 years (1855-2001) for both the U.S. and the U.K., this study documents time-varying stock-bond correlation over macroeconomic conditions (the business cycle, the inflation environment and monetary policy stance). There are different...

This paper examines effects of monetary policy surprises on returns, volatilities, trading volumes, and bid-ask spread of two equity ETFs, the Samp;P 500 SPY fund and the Samp;P 400 MDY fund. The policy surprises are measured by both surprises in the federal funds rate target changes and...