Showing 1 - 10 of 277
This article assesses the impact of official FOREX interventions of the three major central banks in terms of the dynamics of the currency components of the major exchange rates over the period 1989 2003. We identify the currency components of the mean and volatility processes of exchange rates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012716521
We analyze the relationship between interventions and volatility at daily and intra-daily frequencies for the two major exchange rate markets. Using recent econometric methods to estimate realized volatility, we employ bipower variation to decompose this volatility into a continuously varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012731776
Intervening in the FX market implies a complex decision process for central banks. Monetary authorities have to decide whether to intervene or not, and if so, when and how. Since the successive steps of this procedure are likely to be highly interdependent, we adopt a nested logit approach to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012778200
In this paper, I investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBIs) on the ex post correlation and covariance of exchange rates. Using a multivariate GARCH model with time-varying conditional covariances, we estimate the effects of CBIs on both the variances and covariance between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012739250
We measure stock market co-exeedances using the methodology of Cappiello, Gerard and Manganelli (2005, ECB Working Paper 501). This method is based on quantile regressions and enables us to measure comovement at each point of the return distribution. First, we construct an annual co-exeedance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012713915
We measure stock market co-exeedances using the methodology of Cappiello, Gerard and Manganelli (2005, ECB Working Paper 501). This method is based on quantile regressions and enables us to measure comovement at each point of the return distribution. First, we construct an annual co-exeedance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714079
In this paper, we test for linear and nonlinear Granger causality between the French, German, Japanese, UK and US daily stock index returns from 1973 to 2003. To avoid spurious nonlinear causality, we filter out heteroskedasticity using a FIGARCH model and control for multiple structural breaks....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012709942
In this paper we show how to compute a daily VaR measure for two stock indexes (CAC40 and SP500) using the one-day-ahead forecast of the daily realized volatility. The daily realized volatility is equal to the sum of the squared intraday returns over a given day and thus uses intraday...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012740199
Opening, lunch and closing of financial markets induce a periodic component in the volatility of high-frequency returns. We show that price jumps cause a large bias in the classical periodicity estimators and propose robust alternatives. We find that accounting for periodicity greatly improves...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712562
We propose a practical and flexible method to introduce skewness in multivariate symmetric distributions. Applying this procedure to the multivariate Student density leads to a multivariate skew-Student density, in which each marginal has a specific asymmetry coefficient. Combined with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012783779