This paper presents three factor Extended Gaussian term structure models (EGM) to price default-free and defaultable bonds. To price default-free bonds EGM assume that the instantaneous interest rate is a possibly non-linear but monotonic function of three latent factors that follow correlated...

This article presents and tests an 'Extended Black' sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) pricing model, whereby the default intensity is driven by truncated Gaussian latent factors. CDS pricing requires numerical solutions through finite differences, yet maximum likelihood estimation is still...

This paper examines "Extended Black" term structure models (EBTSM), which are multi-factor extensions of the one-factor Black model (Black, F., 1995. Interest rates as options. Journal of Finance 50, 1371-1376). EBTSM are not affected by the admissibility restrictions that plague canonical...

This paper presents closed form solutions to price secured bank loans and financial leases subject to default risk. Secured debt fair credit spreads always increase in the debtor's default probability, whereas financial leasing fair credit spreads may well decrease in the lessee's default...

This article presents, estimates and tests a credit default swap (CDS) pricing model, which links a firm's default intensity to its observed stock price. The pricing model requires finite difference numerical solutions. In spite of this quasi-maximum likelihood parameter estimation is still...

This article presents a tractable structural model in which default may be both expected or unexpected. The model can predict realistically high short-term credit spreads. Closed form solutions are provided for corporate bonds and default swaps. The analysis suggests that, in order for the...

This paper presents a tractable structural model whereby controlling equity holders are also among the creditors of the firm. As the firm approaches distress, equity holders can drain the assets of the firm and expropriate other creditors by repaying their credit before bankruptcy. The right of...

This paper studies the family of quot;extendedquot; affine term structure models (EATSM), whereby the solution for a discount bond prices involves separation of variables and finite difference numerical solutions. As quadratic term structure models, EATSM are unaffected by the admissibility...