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This new edition of A.C. Harvey's clearly written, upper-level text has been revised and several sections have been completely rewritten. There is new material on a number of topics, including unit roots, ARCH, and cointegration. The Econometric Analysis of Time Series focuses on the statistical...
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Multivariate unobserved components (structural) time series models are fitted to annual post-war observations on real income per capita in countries in the Euro-zone. The aim is to establish stylized facts about convergence as it relates both to long-run and short-run movements. A new model, in...
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A modification of the vector autoregressive model is to include a stochastic trend component in each equation. It is argued that this formulation will lead to a more parsimonious model than traditional vector autoregressions formulated in terms of levels or differences. Common trends, or...
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A class of model-based filters for extracting trends and cycles in economic time series is presented. These lowpass and bandpass filters are derived in a mutually consistent manner as the joint solution to a signal extraction problem in an unobserved-components model. The resulting trends and...
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