This paper applies pattern matching technique to multi-step prediction of crude oil prices and proposes a new approach: generalized pattern matching based on genetic algorithm (GPMGA), which can be used to forecast future crude oil price based on historical observations. This approach can detect...

The US dollar is frequently used as the invoicing currency of international crude oil trading. Hence, the fluctuation in US dollar exchange rate is believed to underlie the volatility of crude oil price and especially its forecasting accuracy. Using econometric techniques including...

Energy, just like labor and capital, is universally acknowledged to be the fundamental production factor and strategic resource of an industrial society. China's sustained rapid economic growth has resulted in its ever-growing energy import dependency, especially oil. Meanwhile, world energy...

From the viewpoint of energy system modelling, this paper systematically analyses energy models developed by various international organisations. Their modelling approaches, functions, modelling structures, as well as their typical applications are reviewed. The review will be helpful for...

Coal is the dominating energy source in China. Although the supply and demand of coal has kept equilibrium along with China's continuous and steady economic development in recent years, the sustainable production ability has been seriously decreasing. In this paper, a system dynamics model is...