This paper presents a hybrid causal model for predicting the occurrence of currency crises by using the neuro fuzzy modeling approach. The model integrates the learning ability of the neural network with the inference mechanism of fuzzy logic. The empirical results show that the proposed neuro...

Online auction has now been a popular mechanism in setting prices for internet users. However, auction price prediction, involving the modeling of uncertainty regarding the bidding process, is a challenging task primarily due to the variety of factors changing in auction settings. Even if all...

We examine how the source of foreign aid affects the composition of the recipient government's spending. Does the source of aid - bilateral or multilateral - influence recipient policy-makers' choice between development and nondevelopment expenditure? We depart from previous literature by...

This paper discusses a new approach for studying sanctions based on multipliers derived from the Social Accounting Matrix. I apply the methodology to the South African case and discuss output effects and distributional impacts on factors and households. The results show that the effects of trade...