Showing 1 - 10 of 27
This paper estimates a sticky price macro model with US macro and term structure data using Bayesian methods. The model is solved by a nonlinear method. I find that the degree of nominal rigidity is important for identifying macro shocks that affect the yield curve. When prices are more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012710770
Using Bayesian methods, this paper estimates a model in which persistent fluctuations in expected consumption growth, expected inflation, and their timevarying volatility determine asset price variation. The analysis of the U.S. nominal term structure data from 1953 to 2006 shows that i) agents...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012710827
This dissertation consists of three essays on Bayesian estimation of dynamic macroeconomic models. The first essay is focused on explaining the observed high persistence of hours worked in a standard real business cycle model, while two other essays are about exploring macro-finance interface by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009438449
The time series fit of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models often suffers from restrictions on the long-run dynamics that are at odds with the data. Using Bayesian methods we estimate a stochastic growth model in which hours worked are stationary and a modified version with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005521979
This paper analyses corporate loan guarantees among the Korean chaebol affiliates. Loan guarantees are found to be efficiency-neutral under a set of ideal conditions characterized by perfect and symmetric information, no agency problem, and no governmental interference in private financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005475649
The time series fit of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models often suffers from restrictions on the long-run dynamics that are at odds with the data. Relaxing these restrictions can close the gap between DSGE models and vector autoregressions. This paper modifies a simple...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497949
Using Bayesian methods, we estimate a Markov-switching New Keynesian (MSNK) model that allows shifts in the monetary policy reaction coefficients and shock volatilities with U.S. data. We find that a more aggressive monetary policy regime was in place after the Volcker disinflation and before...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011096904
This paper estimates a long run risk model with term structure data. Inflation and consumption growth both contain correlated long run risk components. The model is estimated by the likelihood-based Bayesian methods and estimates of the latent long run risk factors are extracted from both macro...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011081096
The authors examine whether risk premiums can predict future economic growth and whether monetary policy can influence risk premiums.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185867
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011185871