In this study, we adopt the Probit model and employ data on nine new freshmen cohorts at a public regional university to examine predictive factors for students' retention and measure projected probability of retention for an average college student. Results suggest four main findings: 1) high...

In this paper, we provide two empirical findings. First, exploring 140 monthly macroeconomic and financial variables and applying the principal components method, we find 12 static factors and 8 dynamic factors from 1959 to 2005 in the US. Second, we find the real factor and interest rate factor...

We extend Diebold and Li’s dynamic Nelson-Siegel three-factor model to a broader empirical prospective by including the evaluation of the state space approach and by using nine different ratings for corporate bonds. We find that the dynamic Nelson-Siegel factor AR(1) model outperforms other...

This article finds the close relationship between long memory and some forms of Markov-switching models. The simulation results suggest: (1) when the transition probabilities are closer to unity, it is more likely to generate long memory process; (2) magnitude of regime-switching plays an...

This article examines the hedging performance of the conventional Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) model and a variety of dynamic hedging models for the in-sample and out-of-sample periods of Korean daily Korea Securities Dealers Automated Quotation (KOSDAQ) STAR (KOSTAR) index futures. We employ...

This paper investigates the sensitivity of out-of-sample forecasting performance over a span of different parameters of l in the dynamic Nelson-Siegel three-factor AR(1) model. First, we find that the ad hoc selection of l is not optimal. Second, we find a substantial difference in factor...

"This paper proposes a simple finance innovation with an income-contingent repayment system to supplement our current fixed-interest rate student loan system. Income-contingent repayments could be pooled and securitised while lenders could sell these lifetime equity-like human capital securities...

We explore the possibility of structural breaks in the daily realized volatility of the Deutschemark/Dollar, Yen/Dollar and Yen/Deutschemark spot exchange rates with observed long memory behavior. We find that structural breaks in the mean can partly explain the persistence of realized...