The distribution-free chain ladder reserving method belongs to the most frequently used approaches in general insurance. It is well known, see Mack (1993), that the estimators f̂j of the development factors are unbiased and mutually uncorrelated under some mild conditions on the mean structure...

A common approach to the claims reserving problem is based on generalized linear models (GLM), where the claims in different origin and development years are assumed to be independent variables. If this is violated, the classical techniques may provide incorrect predictions of the claims...

One of the main goals in non-life insurance is to estimate the claims reserve distribution. A generalized time series model, that allows for modeling the conditional mean and variance of the claim amounts, is proposed for the claims development. On contrary to the classical stochastic reserving...

The paper describes our experience with the production of electronic textbooks. Electronic books are defined as supplements to usual printed textbooks. The first part of the paper describes the technical background of our electronic book system. In the second part we describe how this system can...

The state price density is a second derivative of the discounted European options prices with respect to the strike price. We use Maximum Likelihood method to derive a simple estimator of the curve such that it is decreasing, convex and its second derivative integrates to one. Confidence...

Die Berechnung des VaR führt zur Reduktion der Dimension des Raumes der Risikofaktoren. Die vorzunehmenden Vereinfachungen resultieren aus unterschiedlichen Beweggründen, z.B. technische Effizienz, Sachlogik der Ergebnisse und statistische Adäquanz des Modells. Im Kapitel 2 stellen wir drei...

We develop a procedure for monitoring changes in the error distribution of autoregressive time series while controlling the overall size of the sequential test. The proposed procedure, unlike standard procedures which are also referred to, utilizes the empirical characteristic function of...