Denna studie visar att utfallet i avtalsrörelsen 2007 har stor betydelse för framtida produktion och sysselsättning. Beräkningar i Konjunkturinstitutets makroekonomiska modell KIMOD visar att parterna kan minska jämviktsarbetslösheten med en procentenhet genom återhållsamma avtal...

The portfolio balance approach, on which KOFI is based, as well as its formal structure, has been described in an earlier Working Paper. The purpose of the present paper is to place the model in its institutional context and to illustrate its properties by simulations. Furthermore, previous...

An Environmentally adjusted net Domestic Product, EDP, should ideally value not only all “goods” produced during a year, but also all “bads”. This paper is an empirical attempt to show how in practice one can construct an EDP according both to academic theory and the practical guidelines...

We introduce a method for dynamic classification of vector time series data into different regimes. A hidden Markov regime-switching model is used in classification. Past regimes are determined in advance and characterized by first and second moments of the observation vector. In estimation and...

We study a simple assigning workers to employers, where each pair of a worker and an employer has a potential joint productivity, and the complete information about the market is contained in the matrix of potential productivities. <p> Under certain conditions that we specify, the market is...</p>

In resource accounting, shadow prices of natural resources and environmental effects should be used as the social marginal value of goods. Since it is difficult to measure shadow prices in practice, market prices are often used as proxies for shadow prices. A prerequisite for the use of these...

In this paper, we study revisions of Swedish national accounts data. Three aspects of the revisions are considered: volatility, unbiasedness and forecast efficiency. Our results indicate that the properties of the revisions are more problematic for the production side than for the expenditure...

Real housing prices in Sweden have roughly doubled the last 15 years. The rise in housing prices has coincided with a rise in household debt, sparking debate about both the presence of financial imbalances in the Swedish economy and the macroeconomic effects that a correction of these imbalances...

We analyse model choices of various international institutions and find that the majority of the studied central banks have chosen so-called DSGE-models. Ministry of finances have chosen to continue using so-called Semi-Structural Models (SSM) while international organisations such as the IMF...