In some practical applications of transition models there is a natural limit on the duration of some state. An important example is the Youth Training Scheme (YTS), which is normally limited to two years. The authors modify the usual competing risks model for this case and derive a diagnostic...

Just as poverty analysis has a central part in Development Economics, studies of fertility behaviour have an equally important standing in the Demography literature. Poverty and fertility are two important aspects of welfare that are closely related. In this paper we use unique longitudinal data...

We analyse transitions between pensionable jobs, non-pensionable jobs, and other labour market states, using the 1988/9 UK Retirement Survey. We focus on the positive association between length of job tenure and pensionable status, allowing for the possibility that pension scheme members are...

We investigate the relationship between living standards and fertility, using a three-wave panel dataset from Indonesia to provide information on women’s fertility histories and the levels of consumption expenditure in the households to which they belong. We adopt a Bayesian approach to...

Based on data for six countries within the West Africa Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) in 1997. Develops a method for the development of a "trust index" to assess the amount of risk a prospective member is facing when joining a mutual savings and loan institution. Describes the...

We present results from an experiment with multiple public goods, where each good produces benefits only if total contributions to it reach a minimum threshold. The experiment allows us to compare contributions in a benchmark treatment with a single public good and in treatments with more public...

We develop new methods for analyzing randomized experiments with noncompliance and, by extension, instrumental variable settings, when the often controversial, but key, exclusion restriction assumption is violated. We show how existing large-sample bounds on intention-to-treat effects for the...