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In this paper, we investigated changes in the linkages between capital markets by applying the threshold vector autoregressive (TVAR) models to the stock returns of the US and of four East-South Asian markets. We employed the estimating and testing procedures proposed by Tsay (1998) and Hansen...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712074
We study market perception of sovereign credit risk in the euro area during the financial crisis. In our analysis we use a parsimonious CDS pricing model to estimate the probability of default (PD) and the loss given default (LGD) as perceived by financial markets. We find that separate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011067266
The paper employs a recently developed procedure, based on a bivariate Markov switching model, to analyze the asymmetric causality linkages between credit growth and output growth during banking crises. Using a sample of 103 banking crises, we find that neither credit nor output leads the other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004988583
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The aim of this paper is to estimate the costs of banking sector restructuring in Poland, borne by the government and the central bank in the years 1993-2006. The authors focused mainly on the assistance measures that directly contributed to generating costs. Aggregated costs of the banking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008548819
We propose a method for calculating the macroeconomic costs of banking crises that controls for the downward impact of recessions on banking activity. This method uses an event-study approach and a multiple-equation identification and estimation technique. In contrast to earlier research, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008865692
This paper applies a life-cycle model with individual income uncertainty to investigate the determinants of credit to households. We show that the value of household credit to GDP ratio depends on (i) the lending-deposit interest rate spread, (ii) individual income uncertainty, (iii) individual...
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