This article examines whether subjective expectations of unemployment are reliable indicators of the probability of becoming unemployed and investigates their association with wage growth. We find that workers' fears of unemployment are increased by their previous unemployment experience and by...

This paper focuses on the determinants of aggregate investment spending in the UK, for the industrial and commercial company (ICC) sector. Important focal points of our analysis are the role for real profits and the impact of irreversibility and uncertainty in determining aggregate investment...

The failure of models of aggregate consumption to predict the consumer expenditure boom in the late 1980s is well- documented. This has generated a large theoretical and empirical literature in an attempt to refine our understanding of aggregate consumer spending behaviour. In this paper we...

The answer to the question posed in the title of the paper may have some bearing on whether consumer spending will respond in similar ways to common shocks across the European Union. The DHSY model is implemented, its robustness and its commonality assessed for the 15 EU countries. The model...

This paper investigates a demand for money relationship for the dominican Republic. The financial system of the Dominican Republic is underdeveloped, and there are no suitable domestic data on the opportunity cost of holding money. Economic links with the US suggest a possible role for a foreign...

We develop and test a simple asymmetric information model of CEO quality, in which CEOs know their quality and shareholders may only infer this from observations of corporate profits. CEOs signal their quality to shareholders by manipulating the time path of corporate profits. Though...

This paper augments the Granger and Lee (Journal of Applied Econometrics, 4, 1989) non-symmetric error (equilibrium) correction model to assess the possibility that, in the aggregate, consumers respond differently to different types of disequilibrium error. This idea is illustrated using an...

Recent theoretical developments relating to investment under uncertainty have highlighted the importance of irreversibility for the timing of investment expenditures and their expected returns. This has subsequently stimulated a growing empirical literature which examines uncertainty and...