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Exponential smoothing models are an important prediction tool in macroeconomics, finance and business. This paper presents the analytical forecasting properties of the random coefficient exponential smoothing model in the multiple source of error framework. The random coefficient state-space...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099647
Forecasting aggregate demand is a crucial matter in all industrial sectors. In this paper, we provide the analytical prediction properties of top-down (TD) and bottom-up (BU) approaches when forecasting aggregate demand, using multivariate exponential smoothing as demand planning framework. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099652
In this paper we investigate the main features of the Italian financial cycle, extracted by means of a structural trend-cycle decomposition of the credit-to-GDP ratio, using annual observations from 1861 to 2011. In order to draw conclusions based on solid historical data, we provide a thorough...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099684
In this paper we present an overview of theoretical and empirical contributions exploring the inter-linkages between financial factors and real economic activity. We first revisit the main theoretical approaches that allow financial frictions to be embedded into general equilibrium models, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011171338
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005382360
In this paper, we investigate the main features of the Italian financial cycle, extracted by means of a structural trend-cycle decomposition of the credit-to-GDP ratio, using annual observations from 1861 to 2011. In order to draw conclusions based on solid historical data, we provide a thorough...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010894681
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010848086
Building on a new dataset on Italian banks and other financial corporations from 1861 to 2011, the novelty of this paper is to examine the patterns of the main items of bank’s balance sheets, such as deposits, capital and reserves, bonds issued, bonds held in portfolio, and loans for a period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010850514
The objective of this paper is to study the issue of convergence of financial systems through the lens of asset allocation. It examines β- and σ-convergence of the most important financial instruments: deposits, debt securities, shares and insurance products. The analysis is conducted on two...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052830
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010926957