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We present a model of exchange rates, which incorporates the monetary approach and technical trading, and we present the reduced form based on the minimal state variable solution, where both fundamentals and backward-looking term determine the spot exchange rates. Finally, we estimate the impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648848
It is shown in this letter that the magnitude of exchange rate overshooting is larger than in Dornbusch (1976) when chartists are introduced into the model. Also, the extent of overshooting depends inversely on the planning horizon. The latter follows from explicitly modelling the empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005424047
We show that the Matthew effect, or Matthew mechanism, was present in the artificial cultural market Music Lab when social influence between individuals was allowed, whereas this was not the case when social influence was not allowed. We also sketch on a class of social network models, derived...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818819
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010826535
The aim of this article is to demonstrate how the change in actual and potential market risks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) during the 2-year period 2007 to 2008 can be analysed with the help of (<italic>λ</italic>, <italic>σ</italic> -super-2)-analysis. In the empirical analysis, the average of the Lyapunov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010970733
We show that the Matthew effect, or Matthew mechanism, was present in the artificial cultural market Music Lab in one-fourth of the “worlds” when social influence between individuals was allowed, whereas this effect was not present in the “world” that disallowed social influence between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011062049
ABSTRACT We argue that it is not necessary for the central bank to react to the exchange rate to have a desirable outcome in the economy. Indeed, when the Taylor rule includes contemporaneous data on the variables in the rule, the central bank can disregard from the exchange rate as long as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011005770
The purpose of this paper is to show how the stability properties of non-linear dynamic models may be characterized and studied, where the degree of stability is defined by the effects of exogenous shocks on the evolution of the observed stochastic system. This type of stability concept is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005046488
The purpose of this paper is to show how the stability properties of non-linear dynamic models may be characterized and studied, where the degree of stability is defined by the effects of exogenous shocks on the evolution of the observed stochastic system. This type of stability concept is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004966122
The aim of this letter is to discuss and illustrate what we call (lambda, sigma-2)analysis, which is a method to distinguish between the stability of a stochastic dynamic system and the volatility of a variable generated by this system. It is also emphasized that this method is able to generate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005651613