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Assuming a competitive market, conditions are determined for when a steady-state equilibrium does not exist in the optimal dynamic management of a biological population. Irregular and unpredictable behavior (called “"chaos"”) can arise from fully rational economic decision making. High...
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Time series analysis of commodity prices is one of the ongoing developments in relevant empirical studies. The usual research questions are what causes a certain price behavior and what are the consequences. As causes and consequences are sequential events, time is the natural domain of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009430422
Market efficiency and unbiasedness tests are performed for the first time for three forest commodity futures markets: softwood lumber, oriented strand board (OSB), and northern bleached softwood kraft pulp (NBSK). The Johansen cointegration procedure is applied to test long-term market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005500380
In this paper we introduce inverse demand systems that include quadratic scale terms. These systems are similar to regular quadratic demand systems introduced by Howe, Pollack, and Wales. A unique feature of these specifications is that they maintain linear scale curves as a special case. For...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005525939
In recent years the theoretical restrictions of consumer demand have been examined in post sample forecasting exercises. However, this work has uniformly ignored the concavity restrictions of consumer demand. In this paper we evaluate a series of Normalized Quadratic Inverse Demand System...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005476701
This paper explores the use of time-varying regression models to model the effects of technical change in US Midwest Corn yields. The data extends from 1895 to 2005 encompassing the implementation of hybrid technologies and improvements in farm production practices.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005476757
It is shown that the first-order differential acreage allocation model developed by Bettendorf an Bloome and by Barten and Vanloot, and based on certainty equivalent profit maximization, may be extended to a levels version. The levels model, referred to as a linear approximate acreage allocation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005484299
Foreign exchange hedging ratios are simultaneously estimated alongside freight and commodity ratios in a time-varying portfolio framework. Foreign exchange futures are found to be by far the most important derivative instrument to be employed in order to reduce uncertainty for traders. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005454100