Macroeconometric data often come under the form of large panels of time series, themselves decomposing into smaller but still quite large subpanels or blocks. We show how the dynamic factor analysis method proposed in Forni et al (2000), combined with the identification method of Hallin and...

Macroeconometric data often come under the form of large panels of time series, themselves decomposing into smaller but still quite large subpanels or blocks. We show how the dynamic factor analysis method proposed in Forni et al. (2000), combined with the identification method of Hallin and...

This Paper is the result of the Bank of Italy-CEPR project to construct a monthly coincident indicator of the business cycle of the euro area. The index is estimated on the basis of a harmonized data set of monthly statistics of the euro area (951 series) which we constructed from a variety of...

This paper gives simple nonuniform bounds on the tail areas of the permutation distribution of the usual Student's <italic>t</italic>-statistic when the observations are independent with symmetric distributions. As opposed to uniform bounds, nonuniform bounds depend on the observed sample. It is shown that the...

Linear models with stable error densities are considered, and their local asymptotic normality with respect to the regression parameter is established. We use this result, combined with Le Cam's third lemma, to obtain local powers and asymptotic relative efficiencies for various classical rank...

Factor model methods recently have become extremely popular in the theory and practice of large panels of time series data. Those methods rely on various factor models which all are particular cases of the Generalized Dynamic Factor Model (GDFM) introduced in Forniet al. (2000). That paper,...