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This paper serves as an empirical companion piece for "Housing and the Business Cycle" by Davis and Heathcote (2000). A large part of the paper is devoted to documenting the growth, variability, and co-movement of major macroeconomic variables. We pay particular attention to the business cycle...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005439785
Over the period 1973-1985, the correlations of GDP, employment and investment between the United States and an aggregate of major trading partners were respectively 0.76, 0.67, and 0.61. Between 1986-1998 the same correlations were much lower: 0.25, -0.19, and 0.16 (real regionalization). At the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005439833
In the United States, the percentage standard deviation of residential investment is more than twice that of non-residential investment. GDP, consumption, and both types of investment all co-move positively. At the industry level, output and hours worked in construction are more than three times...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005396404
Over the period 1972-1986, the U.S. business cycle was strongly correlated with the business cycle in the rest of the industrialized world. Over the period 1986-2000, international co-movement was much weaker (real regionalization). At the same time, U.S. international asset trade has increased...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005396423
In the United States, the percentage standard deviation of residential investment is more than twice that of nonresidential investment. In addition, GDP, consumption, and both types of investment co-move positively. We reproduce these facts in a calibrated multisector growth model where...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005400998
This article asks whether household heterogeneity and market incompleteness have quantitatively important implications for the welfare effects of tax changes. We compare a representative-agent economy to an economy in which households face idiosyncratic uninsurable income risk. The income...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005401122
This paper studies consumption and labor supply in a model where agents have partial insurance and face risk and initial heterogeneity in wages and preferences. Equilibrium allocations and variances and covariances of wages, hours and consumption are solved for analytically. We prove that all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004967522
What structure of income taxation maximizes the social benefits of redistribution while minimizing the social harm associated with distorting the allocation of labor input? Many authors have advocated scrapping the current tax system, which redistributes primarily via marginal tax rates that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165649
We explore the optimal progressivity of the income tax system in an incomplete-markets model. Agents value private and public consumption and leisure, and are heterogeneous with respect to innate ability, idiosyncratic shock histories, and preferences. This heterogeneity generates a potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011079915
We document a strong negative relation in the United States between wealth and aggregate volatility. For example the 1970s and the late 2000s were periods of low asset values and high volatility. The early 1960s and the Great Moderation of the 1980s and 1990s were periods of high asset values...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011080106