This paper extends Svensson (1994) ?simplest test?of in?ation target credibility inside a Bayesian econometric framework. We apply this approach to the initial years of the Eurosystem and obtain various estimates of ECB?s monetary policy credibility. Overall, our empirical evidence is robust to...

I show that accounting for a structural monetary policy shock associated with the 2007-2008 global financial crisis is crucial in order to obtain moderate empirical support for the Fisher effect in India since the liberalization of the early 90’s. Additional empirical evidence about the...

This paper assesses the sustainability of fiscal policy in India from 1950 to 2010 using multicointegration techniques. Starting from the seminal approach of Granger and Lee (1989), the analysis is extended through more powerful econometric methodologies, including several types of...

This paper reassesses the empirical evidence on the finance-growth nexus for India through a large annual data set (1950-2006) and contributes to the current literature in many respects. Differently from most previous research, the empirical evidence supports the ‘demand-following’...

This paper assesses the validity of the ECB ‘benign neglect’ approach towards foreign exchange markets. I extend the analysis performed in Tronzano (2008) on the U$/Euro rate, applying a wide range of conditional volatility models to Yen/Euro data from 1999 to 2007. An overall evaluation of...

examines the volatility of the U$/Euro exchange rate during the period 1999-2005. According to our estimates, the degree of volatility persistence, although statistically significant, is rather low; moreover, there is no evidence of an asymmetric response of predictable volatility to past...