Emerging market economies typically exhibit a procyclical fiscal policy: public expenditures rise (fall) in economic expansions (recessions), whereas tax rates rise (fall) in bad (good) times. Additionally, the business cycle of these economies is characterized by countercyclical default risk....

is characterized by countercyclical default risk. In this paper we develop a quantitative dynamic stochastic small open economy model with incomplete markets,endogenous fiscal policy and sovereign and private sector default where public expenditures and tax rates are optimally procyclical. The...

A large body of the empirical literature shows that high turnover rates/length of tenure of policymakers and the degree of conflict within a country affects sovereign spreads, debt and default rates. We help to rationalize such claims by including these political features in a dynamic stochastic...

Emerging market economies typically experience procyclical public expenditures and private consumption, countercyclical default risk, interest rate spreads, current account and inflation tax rates as well as and higher volatility in consumption than in output. We develop a quantitative...

This paper provides a new framework to study the term structure of interest rate spreads and the maturity composition of sovereign bonds. As observed in the literature, sovereign interest rate spreads increase during crises, with short term interest rate spreads rising more than long term...

In order to create an environment of low and stable inflation in Mexico it has been necessary to generate a framework for the conduction of monetary policy focused on preserving an environment of price stability along with fiscal discipline. In this context, this paper describes some structural...