This article analyzes Keynes's Economic Possibilities for our Grandchildren an essay presenting Keynes's views about economic growth into the 21st century from the perspective of modern growth theory. I find that the implicit theoretical framework used by Keynes to form his expectations about...

From the end of the SecondWorldWar to the beginning of the Twenty-First Century, per-capita GDP in the economies of East Asia grew almost three times as fast as in the economies of Latin America. Specifically, in 1950, the economies of the Asian Tigers (Japan, South Korea, Singapore and Taiwan)...

Our study complements existing studies of the degree of capital mobility based on an examination of explicit capital controls (e.g. Miniane 2004), the quantity of capital flows (Obstfeld & Taylor 2004), the relationship between investment and savings (e.g. Feldstein & Horioka 1980), cross...

Theory predicts that capital should flow to countries where economic growth and the return to capital is highest. However, in the post-World War II period, per-capita GDP grew almost three times faster in East Asia than in Latin America, yet capital flowed in greater quantities into Latin...

From the end of the Second World War to the beginning of the Twenty-First Century, per-capita GDP in the economies of East Asia grew almost three times as fast as in the economies of Latin America. Specifically, in 1950, the economies of the Asian Tigers (Japan, South Korea, Singapore and...

Does capital flow to locations with a relatively high rate of return? We address this question by constructing a panel database of over 100 countries between 1950 and 2005, accounting for about 99 percent of world real income in 2005. With these data, we construct two measures of the rate of...