We propose a new approach to solve optimal stopping problems via simulation. Working within the backward dynamic programming/Snell envelope framework, we augment the methodology of Longstaff-Schwartz that focuses on approximating the stopping strategy. Namely, we introduce adaptive generation of...

We present a methodology for rating in real-time the creditworthiness of public companies in the U.S. from the prices of traded assets. Our approach uses asset pricing data to impute a term structure of risk neutral survival functions or default probabilities. Firms are then clustered into...

Gaussian processes retain the linear model either as a special case, or in the limit. We show how this relationship can be exploited when the data are at least partially linear. However from the perspective of the Bayesian posterior, the Gaussian processes which encode the linear model either...

A generalized critical point can be characterized by non-linear dynamics. We formulate the deterministic and stochastic theory of relaxation at such a point. Canonical problems are used to motivate the general solutions. In the deterministic theory, we show that at the critical point certain...