The paper develops a methodology for estimating the intra-day probability of informed trading for NYSE stocks, implied by the specialist’s quotes and depths. The time series pattern of our measure (PROBINF) in an intra-day analysis around earnings announcements is consistent with previous...

The paper develops a new measure for the probability of informed trading, which can be estimated from the observed quotes and depths. This measure (PROBINF) represents the specialist's ex-ante estimate of the probability of informed trading. We find that PROBINF exhibits a strong and robust...

type="main" xml:lang="en" <title type="main">Abstract</title> <p>We examine the reputational herding hypothesis and provide evidence that institutional investors' career concerns contribute to herding behavior. Our analysis is based on the intuition that stronger (weaker) career concerns lead to a higher (lower) propensity...</p>

The link between asset valuation and investor sentiment is the subject of considerable debate in the profession. If excessive optimism drives prices above intrinsic values, periods of high sentiment should be followed by low returns, as market prices revert to fundamental values. Using survey...

We report that initial public offering (IPO) underpricing is positively related to analyst coverage by the lead underwriter and to the presence of an all-star analyst on the research staff of the lead underwriter. These findings are robust to controls for other determinants of underpricing and...