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This paper revisits the important result of the real options approach to investment under uncertainty, which states that increased uncertainty raises the value of waiting and thus decelerates investment. Typically in this literature projects are assumed to be perpetual. However, in today's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012754048
In this paper the impact of policy change on the investment behavior of the firm is studied. The change occurs when a stochastic process describing the state of the economic environment reaches a certain trigger. In our setting both the firm's conjecture concerning the trigger as well as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012741839
We analyze the optimal investment strategy of a firm that can complete a project either in one stage at a single freely chosen time point or in incremental steps at distinct time points. The presence of economies of scale gives rise to the following trade-off: lumpy investment has a lower total...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012721404
As becomes apparent from the standard text books in industrial organization (cf. Tirole, 1988, The Theory of Industrial Organization), the analysis of the effects of uncertainty within this field is yet underdeveloped. This paper shows that the new theory of strategic real options can be used to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012738281
This paper considers a representative firm taking investment decisions in a high-tech environment where different generations of products are invented over time. First, we develop a real options investment model in which, according to standard practice, the sales price and the unit production...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012711306
In this paper, the impact of product market uncertainty on the optimal replacement timing of a production facility is studied. The existing production facility can be replaced by a technologically more advanced and thus more cost-effective one. Strategic interactions among the firms competing in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012712166
We study optimal investment in technologies characterized by the learning curve. There are two investment patterns depending on the shape of the learning curve. If the learning process is slow, firms invest relatively late and on a larger scale. If the curve is steep, firms invest earlier and on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010871023
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009993815
This paper revisits the important result of the real options approach to investment under uncertainty, which states that increased uncertainty raises the value of waiting and thus decelerates investment. Typically in this literature projects are assumed to be perpetual. However, in today's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005229793
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008065219